What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 2 games
Compared with a Premier League defender, 25/26, 3,649 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Comparable centre-backs
Nathaniel Phillips has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Championship 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel PhillipsWest Bromwich AlbionChampionship | 8 | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| Ayden HeavenManchester United | 17 | 0.29 | 0.67 |
| MoratoWest Ham United | 21 | 0.33 | 1.05 |
| Tosin AdarabioyoTottenham Hotspur | 16 | 0.23 | 0.68 |
| Jean-Clair TodiboRC Lens | 23 | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| Olivier BoscagliBrighton & Hove Albion | 12 | 0.11 | 0.77 |
| These 5, combined | 0.20 | 0.69 |
Recent matches
The last 2 games Nathaniel Phillips featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton12 Nov | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace15 Aug | 63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How many shots on target does Nathaniel Phillips average?
Across the last 2 Premier League games, Nathaniel Phillips is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 1.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nathaniel Phillips get booked?
Nathaniel Phillips is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 2 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nathaniel Phillips commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 2 games Nathaniel Phillips commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathaniel Phillips?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathaniel Phillips plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.