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Premier League · 25/26
RA

Raphaël Varane

Defender · Man Utd · Premier League 25/26

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 20%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 46 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.27
20%2 of 10
0.27
50%5 of 10
0.67
10%1 of 10
0.13
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Man Utd at Hull City
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Raphaël Varane featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Brighton19 May 21 0 0 0 1 0
@ Chelsea4 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 0
@ Brentford30 Mar 45 0 0 1 0 0
Everton9 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Man City3 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 1
Fulham24 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ Luton18 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ Aston Villa11 Feb 90 0 1 1 1 0
West Ham4 Feb 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wolves1 Feb 90 0 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Raphaël Varane have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Raphaël Varane average?

Across his last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Raphaël Varane get booked?

Raphaël Varane is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Raphaël Varane commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Raphaël Varane commits 0.67 fouls per 90 and wins 0.27 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Raphaël Varane?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Raphaël Varane plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.