Raphaël Varane
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Man UtdPremier League 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Raphaël Varane featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brighton19 May | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea4 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brentford30 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton9 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Man City3 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fulham24 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Luton18 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| West Ham4 Feb | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves1 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Raphaël Varane have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Raphaël Varane average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Raphaël Varane is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Raphaël Varane get booked?
Raphaël Varane is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Raphaël Varane commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Raphaël Varane commits 0.67 fouls per 90 and wins 0.27 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Raphaël Varane?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Raphaël Varane plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.