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Premier League 26/27
RI

Richarlison

Striker 93% of 30 recent starts TottenhamPremier League 26/27

Next match
Tottenham at Manchester United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.30 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots2.86 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won1.30 per 90
70%
7 of 101.7×
Fouls committed1.30 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Tackles1.56 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
10%
1 of 101.7×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Richarlison has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Richarlison in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur 322.81 1.06
João PedroChelsea 352.46 1.28
Raúl JiménezWolverhampton 363.02 1.88
Igor JesusNottingham Forest 372.72 1.63
Kai HavertzArsenal 122.78 1.23
Noah OkaforLeeds United 282.00 1.03
These 5, combined 2.60 1.46

Recent matches

The last 10 games Richarlison featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brentford22 Aug 68 0 0 2 1 0 0
Everton24 May 73 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ Chelsea19 May 90 2 3 1 2 2 0
Leeds11 May 90 1 4 0 0 0 0
@ Aston Villa3 May 89 1 2 2 1 2 0
@ Wolves25 Apr 50 0 2 1 0 2 0
@ Sunderland12 Apr 61 2 3 0 1 1 0
Nottingham Forest22 Mar 67 0 1 1 2 0 0
@ Liverpool15 Mar 89 4 5 1 2 5 0
Crystal Palace5 Mar 16 0 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 10 games Richarlison never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Jarred Gillett 9 games Richarlison booked in 1 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Robert Jones 8 games Richarlison never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Peter Bankes 7 games Richarlison booked in 3 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Richarlison have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Richarlison has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Richarlison average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Richarlison is averaging 1.30 shots on target and 2.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Richarlison get booked?

Richarlison is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Richarlison commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Richarlison commits 1.30 fouls per 90 and wins 1.30 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Richarlison?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Richarlison plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.