What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 6 games
Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 6 Premier League games, Toby Collyer has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 6), 1+ total shot in 17%, 1+ foul committed in 17%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 6). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 6 games Toby Collyer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leicester16 Mar | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Arsenal9 Mar | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham26 Jan | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton19 Jan | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton16 Jan | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Liverpool1 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Toby Collyer have a shot on target?
Over the last 6 Premier League games, Toby Collyer has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 6). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Toby Collyer average?
Across the last 6 Premier League games, Toby Collyer is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.51 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Toby Collyer get booked?
Toby Collyer is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 6 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Toby Collyer commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 6 games Toby Collyer commits 1.03 fouls per 90 and wins 2.06 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Toby Collyer?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Toby Collyer plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.