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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
TY

Tyrone Mings

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Aston VillaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Aston Villa vs Brentford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Craig Pawson

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
6.50bet365Edge
Total shots0.79 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
2.25bet365Edge
Fouls won0.79 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.67PPEdge
Fouls committed0.79 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.67bet365Edge
Tackles0.67 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
6.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tyrone Mings has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Tyrone Mings in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tyrone MingsAston Villa 170.61 0.68
Rúben DiasManchester City 260.42 0.63
Trevoh ChalobahComo 340.52 0.65
Nikola MilenkovićNottingham Forest 380.43 0.56
Nathan CollinsBrentford 350.61 0.61
Joe RodonLeeds United 350.55 0.52
These 5, combined 0.51 0.59

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tyrone Mings featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Tottenham19 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Nottingham Forest12 Sep 65 0 1 1 1 1 1
@ Hull City5 Sep 90 0 3 0 1 1 0
@ Brighton23 Aug 16 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Man City24 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Burnley10 May 90 0 0 2 1 0 1
Tottenham3 May 90 0 1 2 2 0 0
Sunderland19 Apr 90 1 1 1 1 0 0
@ Man Utd15 Mar 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
Chelsea4 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Jarred Gillett 7 games Tyrone Mings never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Andy Madley 6 games Tyrone Mings booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Michael Oliver 6 games Tyrone Mings booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 5 games Tyrone Mings booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tyrone Mings have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tyrone Mings has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tyrone Mings average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Tyrone Mings is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.79 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tyrone Mings get booked?

Tyrone Mings is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tyrone Mings commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tyrone Mings commits 0.79 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tyrone Mings?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tyrone Mings plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.