Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 25/26
DA

Danilo Cataldi

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts LazioSerie A 25/26

Next match
Lazio vs Monza›
Sun 11 OctReferee Giuseppe Collu

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.53 per 90
40%
4 of 102.1×
2.88PPEdge
Total shots1.19 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls won0.66 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.73bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles1.59 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
30%
3 of 103.2×
Cards0.27 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Danilo Cataldi has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Danilo Cataldi in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Danilo CataldiLazio 271.17 0.99
Kristjan AsllaniTorino 151.59 0.56
Kenneth TaylorLazio 171.03 1.09
Piotr ZielińskiInter 341.27 0.79
Máximo PerroneComo 360.59 1.41
Nicolò BarellaInter 341.24 1.17
These 5, combined 1.08 1.08

Recent matches

The last 10 games Danilo Cataldi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SSC Napoli18 Apr 61 0 0 1 0 0 1
Parma4 Apr 90 0 0 3 1 0 0
Sassuolo9 Mar 38 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Torino1 Mar 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
@ Cagliari21 Feb 30 1 2 0 0 4 0
Atalanta14 Feb 67 0 1 1 1 2 0
@ Juventus8 Feb 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
Genoa30 Jan 90 1 2 0 1 1 0
Como19 Jan 53 1 2 0 0 0 1
@ Hellas Verona11 Jan 69 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 9 games Danilo Cataldi booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Marco Di Bello 6 games Danilo Cataldi booked in 2 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league
Luca Pairetto 5 games Danilo Cataldi booked in 2 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league
Davide Massa 5 games Danilo Cataldi booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Danilo Cataldi have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Danilo Cataldi has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Danilo Cataldi average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Danilo Cataldi is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 1.19 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Danilo Cataldi get booked?

Danilo Cataldi is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Danilo Cataldi commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Danilo Cataldi commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.66 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Danilo Cataldi?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Danilo Cataldi plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.