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Serie A 26/27
DA

Davide Bartesaghi

Wing-back 83% of 29 recent starts AC MilanSerie A 26/27

Next match
AC Milan at Sassuolo›
Sun 11 OctReferee Francesco Fourneau

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 44 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A wing-back, 25/26, 1,428 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
3.50PPEdge
Total shots0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.53bet365Edge
Fouls won0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.73PPEdge
Fouls committed0.90 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles1.29 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
4.20PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Davide Bartesaghi has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Davide Bartesaghi in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 48 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Davide BartesaghiAC Milan 310.81 0.70
Emanuele ValeriParma 340.78 0.78
Brooke Norton-CuffyHull City 270.65 0.93
Rafael ObradorSassuolo 160.56 0.56
Andrea CambiasoJuventus 360.84 0.93
Zeki ÇelikAS Roma 340.73 1.15
These 5, combined 0.74 0.92

Recent matches

The last 10 games Davide Bartesaghi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lecce20 Sep 14 0 0 1 0 0 0
Venezia28 Aug 87 0 0 1 1 4 0
@ Torino23 Aug 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cagliari24 May 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
@ Genoa17 May 90 1 1 2 0 2 0
Atalanta10 May 80 0 0 0 0 0 0
Juventus26 Apr 45 0 0 2 0 0 1
@ Hellas Verona19 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
Udinese11 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ SSC Napoli6 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Marco Guida 5 games Davide Bartesaghi booked in 1 4.14cards/game 0.99×vs league
Luca Zufferli 4 games Davide Bartesaghi booked in 1 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league
Simone Sozza 3 games Davide Bartesaghi booked in 1 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league
Daniele Chiffi 3 games Davide Bartesaghi never booked 3.81cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Davide Bartesaghi have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Davide Bartesaghi has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Davide Bartesaghi average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Davide Bartesaghi is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Davide Bartesaghi get booked?

Davide Bartesaghi is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Davide Bartesaghi commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Davide Bartesaghi commits 0.90 fouls per 90 and wins 0.39 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Davide Bartesaghi?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Davide Bartesaghi plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.