What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A wing-back, 25/26, 1,428 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Denzel Dumfries has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Denzel Dumfries in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 48 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel DumfriesInter | 20 | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Weston McKennieJuventus | 36 | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Rafik BelghaliTorino | 26 | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Matteo PolitanoSSC Napoli | 34 | 1.99 | 0.77 |
| Mikael EllertssonGenoa | 36 | 0.84 | 0.91 |
| Davide ZappacostaAtalanta | 35 | 1.29 | 0.63 |
| These 5, combined | 1.28 | 0.94 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Denzel Dumfries featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Lazio9 May | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Parma3 May | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Torino26 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari17 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Como12 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Roma5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fiorentina22 Mar | 86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Atalanta14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan8 Mar | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Lazio9 Nov | 56 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Denzel Dumfries have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Denzel Dumfries has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Denzel Dumfries average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Denzel Dumfries is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Denzel Dumfries get booked?
Denzel Dumfries is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Denzel Dumfries commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Denzel Dumfries commits 1.64 fouls per 90 and wins 1.09 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Denzel Dumfries?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Denzel Dumfries plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.