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SharpXI©
Serie A 23/24
FR

Francesco Gelli

Full-back 25% of 16 recent starts FrosinoneSerie A 23/24

Next match
Frosinone at SSC Napoli›
Sat 10 OctReferee Ermanno Feliciani

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 27 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.34 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
2.62bet365Edge
Total shots1.34 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won2.35 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.10bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.01 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.14bet365Edge
Tackles0.67 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.34 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
4.33bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Francesco Gelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Francesco Gelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Udinese26 May 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Monza19 May 18 0 0 1 3 1 1
Inter10 May 52 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Empoli5 May 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
Salernitana26 Apr 3 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Torino21 Apr 8 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ SSC Napoli14 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lazio16 Mar 80 0 0 0 1 0 0
Lecce3 Mar 77 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Juventus25 Feb 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Antonio Rapuano 3 games Francesco Gelli never booked 4.75cards/game 1.13×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Serie A official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Francesco Gelli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Francesco Gelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Francesco Gelli average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Francesco Gelli is averaging 0.34 shots on target and 1.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Francesco Gelli get booked?

Francesco Gelli is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Francesco Gelli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Francesco Gelli commits 1.01 fouls per 90 and wins 2.35 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Francesco Gelli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Francesco Gelli plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.