What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26 · 1,875 appearances
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Joaquín Correa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joaquín Correa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Como23 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio18 May | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Torino11 May | 90 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona3 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Roma27 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bologna20 Apr | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Cagliari12 Apr | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Parma5 Apr | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Udinese30 Mar | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta16 Mar | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Joaquín Correa have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Joaquín Correa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joaquín Correa average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Joaquín Correa is averaging 0.74 shots on target and 1.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joaquín Correa get booked?
Joaquín Correa is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joaquín Correa commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joaquín Correa commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 1.67 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joaquín Correa?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joaquín Correa plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.