What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Gabbia has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Matteo Gabbia in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo GabbiaAC Milan | 30 | 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Alessio RomagnoliLazio | 32 | 0.30 | 0.61 |
| Manuel AkanjiInter | 33 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Tarik MuharemovićSassuolo | 32 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| Jay IdzesSassuolo | 35 | 0.15 | 0.97 |
| Federico BaschirottoCremonese | 29 | 0.43 | 1.59 |
| These 5, combined | 0.45 | 0.94 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matteo Gabbia featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia28 Aug | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Torino23 Aug | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cagliari24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Genoa17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Atalanta10 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Juventus26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hellas Verona19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como18 Feb | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Pisa13 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matteo Gabbia have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Gabbia has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matteo Gabbia average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Gabbia is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matteo Gabbia get booked?
Matteo Gabbia is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matteo Gabbia commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Matteo Gabbia commits 1.04 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matteo Gabbia?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matteo Gabbia plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.