What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Zaniolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Nicolò Zaniolo in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò ZanioloUdinese | 32 | 2.86 | 2.46 |
| Mateo PellegrinoFiorentina | 37 | 2.20 | 2.62 |
| Keinan DavisUdinese | 30 | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| VitinhaGenoa | 35 | 2.60 | 1.36 |
| Kieron BowieHellas Verona | 14 | 2.47 | 2.54 |
| Walid CheddiraSassuolo | 33 | 2.38 | 1.95 |
| These 5, combined | 2.34 | 2.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nicolò Zaniolo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari19 Sep | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Como22 Aug | 89 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari9 May | 78 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Torino2 May | 90 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Lazio27 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Parma18 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| @ AC Milan11 Apr | 66 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Como6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Genoa20 Mar | 89 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Juventus14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nicolò Zaniolo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Zaniolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nicolò Zaniolo average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Zaniolo is averaging 0.77 shots on target and 2.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nicolò Zaniolo get booked?
Nicolò Zaniolo is averaging 0.44 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nicolò Zaniolo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nicolò Zaniolo commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 2.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolò Zaniolo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolò Zaniolo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.