What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolò Zaniolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Nicolò Zaniolo has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò ZanioloUdineseSerie A | 32 | 2.86 | 2.46 |
| Zian FlemmingIpswich Town | 29 | 2.64 | 2.49 |
| Raúl JiménezWolverhampton | 36 | 3.02 | 1.88 |
| Igor ThiagoBrentford | 38 | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Igor JesusNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.72 | 1.63 |
| RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur | 32 | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| These 5, combined | 2.66 | 1.82 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nicolò Zaniolo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool13 May | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal14 Apr | 80 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brentford6 Apr | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man City3 Apr | 77 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Wolves30 Mar | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Ham17 Mar | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Tottenham10 Mar | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Luton2 Mar | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nottingham Forest24 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd11 Feb | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Premier League official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nicolò Zaniolo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolò Zaniolo has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nicolò Zaniolo average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nicolò Zaniolo is averaging 1.46 shots on target and 2.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nicolò Zaniolo get booked?
Nicolò Zaniolo is averaging 0.58 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nicolò Zaniolo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nicolò Zaniolo commits 1.46 fouls per 90 and wins 1.46 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolò Zaniolo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolò Zaniolo plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.