Pablo Marí
Centre-back 100% of 29 recent starts FiorentinaSerie A 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Pablo Marí has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Pablo Marí in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo MaríFiorentina | 11 | 0.22 | 1.89 |
| Marin PongračićFiorentina | 35 | 0.25 | 2.13 |
| Diego CarlosParma | 27 | 0.37 | 1.80 |
| Mariano TroiloParma | 21 | 0.50 | 1.49 |
| Armel Bella-KotchapVenezia | 19 | 0.20 | 1.46 |
| Jamil SiebertLecce | 21 | 0.32 | 1.16 |
| These 5, combined | 0.32 | 1.68 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Pablo Marí featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Lazio7 Jan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo6 Dec | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta30 Nov | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Juventus22 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Genoa9 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Inter29 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bologna26 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan19 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| AS Roma5 Oct | 75 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Pisa28 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Pablo Marí have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Pablo Marí has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Pablo Marí average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Pablo Marí is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Pablo Marí get booked?
Pablo Marí is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Pablo Marí commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Pablo Marí commits 1.73 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pablo Marí?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Pablo Marí plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.