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Serie A · 25/26
RA

Rafael Tolói

Defender · Atalanta · Serie A 25/26

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Rafael Tolói has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 10%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.42
10%1 of 10
0.21
50%5 of 10
1.25
10%1 of 10
0.21
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rafael Tolói featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Monza4 May 45 0 0 0 0 0
@ AC Milan20 Apr 31 0 1 1 0 0
Bologna13 Apr 45 0 0 1 0 1
@ Juventus9 Mar 9 0 0 0 0 0
@ Empoli23 Feb 27 0 0 1 0 0
Cagliari15 Feb 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Hellas Verona8 Feb 31 0 0 0 0 0
Torino1 Feb 60 0 0 1 0 0
@ Como25 Jan 12 0 0 0 0 0
@ Parma23 Nov 82 0 0 2 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Rafael Tolói have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Rafael Tolói has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Rafael Tolói average?

Across his last 10 Serie A games, Rafael Tolói is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rafael Tolói get booked?

Rafael Tolói is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rafael Tolói commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Rafael Tolói commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 0.21 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rafael Tolói?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Rafael Tolói plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.