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Serie A 26/27
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Sebastiano Esposito

Striker 77% of 30 recent starts SassuoloSerie A 26/27

Next match
Sassuolo vs AC Milan›
Sun 11 OctReferee Francesco Fourneau

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.90 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.1×
1.91bet365Edge
Total shots2.59 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
1.17PPEdge
Fouls won2.37 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.24 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
1.36PPEdge
Tackles1.58 per 90
70%
7 of 102.4×
20%
2 of 102.2×
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.45 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Sebastiano Esposito has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Sebastiano Esposito in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Sebastiano EspositoSassuolo 361.90 1.50
Daniel MaldiniCagliari 212.17 1.69
Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United 112.59 1.17
Federico BonazzoliCremonese 352.68 0.93
Santiago GiménezFC Porto 162.71 1.00
Gaetano OristanioTorino 202.52 1.37
These 5, combined 2.57 1.15

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sebastiano Esposito featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Monza18 Sep 72 1 2 2 0 0 0
Juventus13 Sep 70 1 2 1 3 0 0
@ AC Milan24 May 89 0 3 1 4 4 0
Torino17 May 82 1 2 3 3 3 0
Udinese9 May 90 1 4 1 2 1 0
@ Bologna3 May 73 1 1 0 0 1 0
Atalanta27 Apr 56 0 1 1 3 0 0
@ Inter17 Apr 90 1 2 1 3 3 1
Cremonese11 Apr 88 1 3 1 1 1 0
@ Sassuolo4 Apr 89 1 3 0 2 1 0
Officials on record
Juan Luca Sacchi 4 games Sebastiano Esposito booked in 1 3.87cards/game 0.92×vs league
Livio Marinelli 4 games Sebastiano Esposito booked in 1 3.79cards/game 0.90×vs league
Luca Zufferli 4 games Sebastiano Esposito booked in 1 2.89cards/game 0.69×vs league
Daniele Doveri 4 games Sebastiano Esposito never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sebastiano Esposito have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Sebastiano Esposito has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sebastiano Esposito average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Sebastiano Esposito is averaging 0.90 shots on target and 2.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sebastiano Esposito get booked?

Sebastiano Esposito is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sebastiano Esposito commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Sebastiano Esposito commits 1.24 fouls per 90 and wins 2.37 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sebastiano Esposito?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sebastiano Esposito plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.