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SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
BE

Bernardo

Full-back 80% of 30 recent starts TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 26/27

Next match
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.18 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.18bet365Edge
Tackles2.36 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 102.6×
2.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Bernardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (0 of 29), 1+ total shot in 28%, 1+ foul committed in 69%, 1+ foul won in 31%, and been booked in 31% (9 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Bernardo in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
BernardoTSG Hoffenheim 290.39 1.59
Rasmus KristensenEintracht Frankfurt 220.86 1.38
Nnamdi CollinsEintracht Frankfurt 230.24 1.31
Lukas KüblerSC Freiburg 231.07 1.13
Konrad LaimerFC Bayern München 290.77 1.31
Saël KumbediVfL Wolfsburg 260.23 0.99
These 5, combined 0.62 1.22

Recent matches

The last 10 games Bernardo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ 1. FC Köln29 Aug 53 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach16 May 76 0 1 0 1 5 0
SV Werder Bremen9 May 71 0 0 1 0 0 1
VfB Stuttgart2 May 90 0 1 1 1 1 1
@ Hamburger SV25 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
Borussia Dortmund18 Apr 72 0 1 2 0 3 0
@ FC Augsburg10 Apr 22 0 0 1 0 1 0
1. FSV Mainz 054 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ RB Leipzig20 Mar 76 0 0 3 0 2 1
VfL Wolfsburg14 Mar 90 0 0 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 8 games Bernardo booked in 2 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 5 games Bernardo booked in 2 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league
Robert Schröder 5 games Bernardo booked in 1 3.85cards/game 0.95×vs league
Daniel Siebert 5 games Bernardo never booked 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 19 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Bernardo have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Bernardo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (0 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Bernardo average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Bernardo is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Bernardo get booked?

Bernardo is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Bernardo commit or win more fouls?

This season Bernardo commits 1.59 fouls per 90 and wins 0.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bernardo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bernardo plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.