Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
IS

Ismael Saibari

Midfielder FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27

Next match
FC Bayern München at FC Augsburg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a Bundesliga midfielder, 25/26, 3,674 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.52 per 90
25%
1 of 41.0×
1.33bet365Edge
Total shots4.04 per 90
100%Hot
4 of 41.9×
1.02bet365Edge
Fouls won1.01 per 90
50%
2 of 41.1×
1.36bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.01 per 90
50%
2 of 41.0×
1.22bet365Edge
Tackles1.01 per 90
25%
1 of 40.4×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
8.00bet365Edge
Goals0.51 per 90
25%
1 of 42.7×
form only
Assists1.01 per 90
25%
1 of 42.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 4 Bundesliga games, Ismael Saibari has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Comparable central midfielders

Ismael Saibari has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ismael SaibariFC Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League 72.23 1.63
Christoph BaumgartnerRB Leipzig 332.61 2.03
Rocco ReitzRB Leipzig 311.60 1.19
Jens StageSV Werder Bremen 292.04 1.28
Grischa PrömelVfB Stuttgart 332.21 1.18
Mattias SvanbergVfL Wolfsburg 261.93 1.75
These 5, combined 2.10 1.48

Recent matches

The last 4 games Ismael Saibari featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep 27 3 4 0 0 0 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep 65 0 2 0 1 2 0
@ FC Schalke 045 Sep 57 0 1 1 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart28 Aug 29 0 1 1 1 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Ismael Saibari have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 Bundesliga games, Ismael Saibari has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (1 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ismael Saibari average?

Across the last 4 Bundesliga games, Ismael Saibari is averaging 1.52 shots on target and 4.04 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ismael Saibari get booked?

Ismael Saibari is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ismael Saibari commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Ismael Saibari commits 1.01 fouls per 90 and wins 1.01 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ismael Saibari?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ismael Saibari plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.