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Bundesliga 25/26
ST

Stefan Bell

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 25/26

Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen›
Sat 10 OctReferee Max Burda

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.62 per 90
40%
4 of 102.8×
4.00MGMEdge
Total shots1.12 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
2.10MGMEdge
Fouls won0.75 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.87 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.18bet365Edge
Tackles1.00 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.37 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.25 per 90
20%
2 of 104.1×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 104.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Stefan Bell has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18), 1+ total shot in 39%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 22% (4 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Stefan Bell in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Stefan Bell1. FSV Mainz 05 181.03 1.29
Ozan KabakTSG Hoffenheim 251.84 1.38
Emre CanBorussia Dortmund 90.72 1.45
Leopold Querfeld1. FC Union Berlin 310.97 1.53
Luka VuškovićHamburger SV 281.18 1.07
Aurèle AmendaCoventry City 240.53 1.18
These 5, combined 1.09 1.31

Recent matches

The last 10 games Stefan Bell featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia Dortmund13 Feb 27 0 0 1 0 0 0
FC Augsburg7 Feb 90 1 1 0 1 1 0
@ RB Leipzig31 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 3 1
VfL Wolfsburg24 Jan 90 2 6 2 1 0 1
@ 1. FC Köln17 Jan 74 1 1 0 1 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim13 Jan 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin10 Jan 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ FC Bayern München14 Dec 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ SC Freiburg30 Nov 73 0 0 1 2 0 1
TSG Hoffenheim21 Nov 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 6 games Stefan Bell booked in 4 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Daniel Schlager 5 games Stefan Bell booked in 3 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games Stefan Bell booked in 2 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Benjamin Brand 4 games Stefan Bell booked in 1 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Stefan Bell have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Stefan Bell has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Stefan Bell average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Stefan Bell is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Stefan Bell get booked?

Stefan Bell is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Stefan Bell commit or win more fouls?

This season Stefan Bell commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stefan Bell?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stefan Bell plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.