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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Stefan Bell

Defender · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Stefan Bell has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18), 1+ total shot in 39%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 22% (4 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.62
40%4 of 10
1.12
50%5 of 10
0.75
50%5 of 10
0.87
30%3 of 10
0.37
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Stefan Bell featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Borussia Dortmund13 Feb 27 0 0 1 0 0
FC Augsburg7 Feb 90 1 1 0 1 0
@ RB Leipzig31 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 1
VfL Wolfsburg24 Jan 90 2 6 2 1 1
@ 1. FC Köln17 Jan 74 1 1 0 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim13 Jan 90 1 1 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin10 Jan 90 0 0 0 1 0
@ FC Bayern München14 Dec 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg30 Nov 73 0 0 1 2 1
TSG Hoffenheim21 Nov 9 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 6 games · Stefan Bell booked in 4 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Daniel Schlager 5 games · Stefan Bell booked in 3 4.45cards/game 1.09×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games · Stefan Bell booked in 2 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Benjamin Brand 4 games · Stefan Bell booked in 1 4.43cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Stefan Bell have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Stefan Bell has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Stefan Bell average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Stefan Bell is averaging 0.43 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Stefan Bell get booked?

Stefan Bell is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Stefan Bell commit or win more fouls?

This season Stefan Bell commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stefan Bell?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Stefan Bell plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.