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Bundesliga 26/27
YU

Yussuf Poulsen

Striker 89% of 19 recent starts Hamburger SVBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Hamburger SV at TSG Hoffenheim›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.78 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
2.10bet365Edge
Total shots1.56 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
1.25bet365Edge
Fouls won1.56 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.17bet365Edge
Fouls committed3.12 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.14bet365Edge
Tackles1.17 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.39 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.39 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Yussuf Poulsen has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 15), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 27% (4 of 15). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Yussuf Poulsen in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Yussuf PoulsenHamburger SV 151.84 3.42
Keke ToppSV Werder Bremen 203.41 2.19
Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim 161.81 2.31
Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund 282.50 2.07
Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg 294.11 2.06
Junior AdamuSC Freiburg 91.38 1.97
These 5, combined 2.85 2.11

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Yussuf Poulsen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Köln19 Sep 45 2 3 0 2 1 0
@ RB Leipzig13 Sep 45 0 1 2 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund29 Aug 8 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen16 May 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
SC Freiburg10 May 10 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt2 May 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg7 Mar 23 0 0 0 0 0 0
RB Leipzig1 Mar 23 0 0 2 0 0 1
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0520 Feb 25 0 0 2 1 1 0
1. FC Union Berlin14 Feb 18 0 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 8 games Yussuf Poulsen never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Harm Osmers 6 games Yussuf Poulsen never booked 4.30cards/game 1.06×vs league
Felix Zwayer 5 games Yussuf Poulsen never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 5 games Yussuf Poulsen never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Yussuf Poulsen have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Yussuf Poulsen has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 15). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Yussuf Poulsen average?

Across 15 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Yussuf Poulsen is averaging 0.79 shots on target and 1.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Yussuf Poulsen get booked?

Yussuf Poulsen is averaging 1.05 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Yussuf Poulsen commit or win more fouls?

This season Yussuf Poulsen commits 3.42 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Yussuf Poulsen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Yussuf Poulsen plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.