Connor Ogilvie
In 25/26, Connor Ogilvie has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 32 Championship appearances (3 of 32), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 69%, and been booked in 16% (5 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Connor Ogilvie featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City2 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City21 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oxford United6 Apr | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Norwich3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Derby County16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Swansea City10 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers7 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Connor Ogilvie have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Connor Ogilvie has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 32 Championship appearances (3 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Connor Ogilvie average?
Across 32 Championship appearances in 25/26, Connor Ogilvie is averaging 0.10 shots on target and 0.73 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Connor Ogilvie get booked?
Connor Ogilvie is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Connor Ogilvie commit or win more fouls?
This season Connor Ogilvie commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.59 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Connor Ogilvie?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Connor Ogilvie plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.