What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, David Strelec has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to David Strelec in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| David StrelecMiddlesbrough | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 2.27 | 0.91 |
| These 5, combined | 1.95 | 1.47 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games David Strelec featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall15 Sep | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley2 Sep | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City23 May | 70 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Southampton12 May | 83 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton9 May | 79 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wrexham2 May | 71 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Watford25 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday22 Apr | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Ipswich19 Apr | 82 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth11 Apr | 63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does David Strelec have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, David Strelec has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does David Strelec average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, David Strelec is averaging 1.15 shots on target and 2.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does David Strelec get booked?
David Strelec is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does David Strelec commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games David Strelec commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.29 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for David Strelec?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. David Strelec plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.