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Championship · 25/26
DU

Duane Holmes

Forward · Preston North End · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Duane Holmes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.30
20%2 of 10
0.60
60%6 of 10
3.32
30%3 of 10
1.21
10%1 of 10
0.30
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Preston North End at Bolton Wanderers
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Duane Holmes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Norwich11 Feb 22 0 0 0 0 0
@ Blackburn Rovers31 Jan 11 0 0 0 1 0
Middlesbrough25 Jan 18 0 0 1 0 0
@ Watford21 Jan 24 0 0 0 1 0
Oxford United4 Jan 84 0 0 0 3 0
@ West Brom1 Jan 45 1 1 0 3 0
Sheffield Wednesday29 Dec 18 0 0 0 2 1
Hull City26 Dec 13 0 1 1 1 0
@ Queens Park Rangers21 Dec 35 0 0 2 0 0
Leeds14 Dec 28 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Josh Smith 8 games · Duane Holmes booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Matt Donohue 7 games · Duane Holmes booked in 2 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
John Busby 7 games · Duane Holmes never booked 3.82cards/game 0.95×vs league
Gavin Ward 6 games · Duane Holmes booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Duane Holmes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Duane Holmes has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Duane Holmes average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Duane Holmes is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Duane Holmes get booked?

Duane Holmes is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Duane Holmes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Duane Holmes commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 3.32 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Duane Holmes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Duane Holmes plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.