Duncan Watmore
Over the last 10 Championship games, Duncan Watmore has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Duncan Watmore featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Plymouth Argyle12 Feb | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers1 Feb | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth28 Jan | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Luton25 Jan | 83 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cardiff City21 Jan | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City18 Jan | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oxford United1 Jan | 65 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Norwich26 Dec | 77 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers21 Dec | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough14 Dec | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Duncan Watmore have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Duncan Watmore has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Duncan Watmore average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Duncan Watmore is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 1.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Duncan Watmore get booked?
Duncan Watmore is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Duncan Watmore commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Duncan Watmore commits 1.27 fouls per 90 and wins 1.27 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Duncan Watmore?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Duncan Watmore plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.