Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
HA

Harvey Vale

Wide midfielder 53% of 30 recent starts Queens Park RangersChampionship 26/27

Next match
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County›
Wed 14 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 40 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship wide midfielder, 25/26, 189 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.86 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
Total shots3.00 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.54 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.43 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Tackles2.04 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.8×
30%
3 of 102.1×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Assists0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 102.9×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Harvey Vale has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harvey Vale featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ West Ham9 Oct 30 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ West Brom12 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Charlton Athletic9 Sep 90 0 2 0 2 1 0
Middlesbrough5 Sep 90 0 3 0 0 3 0
Cardiff City2 Sep 90 0 5 0 0 3 0
Bolton Wanderers22 Aug 90 4 4 1 0 1 0
@ Portsmouth15 Aug 90 0 3 2 0 2 0
@ Ipswich2 May 90 0 3 1 2 3 0
Derby County25 Apr 90 3 6 0 0 2 0
Swansea City21 Apr 90 1 2 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Ruebyn Ricardo 4 games Harvey Vale never booked 4.93cards/game 1.23×vs league
Edward Duckworth 3 games Harvey Vale never booked
Oliver Langford 3 games Harvey Vale never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Tom Nield 3 games Harvey Vale never booked 3.87cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Harvey Vale have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Harvey Vale has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Harvey Vale average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Harvey Vale is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harvey Vale get booked?

Harvey Vale is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harvey Vale commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Harvey Vale commits 0.43 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harvey Vale?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harvey Vale plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.