Paul Smyth
In 25/26, Paul Smyth has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 36 Championship appearances (13 of 36), 1+ total shot in 64%, 1+ foul committed in 72%, 1+ foul won in 72%, and been booked in 22% (8 of 36). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Paul Smyth featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Ipswich2 May | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Derby County25 Apr | 79 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Swansea City21 Apr | 61 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Millwall18 Apr | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End6 Apr | 67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Watford3 Apr | 72 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Portsmouth21 Mar | 66 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Leicester14 Mar | 84 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City11 Mar | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Paul Smyth have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Paul Smyth has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 36 Championship appearances (13 of 36). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Paul Smyth average?
Across 36 Championship appearances in 25/26, Paul Smyth is averaging 1.02 shots on target and 2.18 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Paul Smyth get booked?
Paul Smyth is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Paul Smyth commit or win more fouls?
This season Paul Smyth commits 1.89 fouls per 90 and wins 2.71 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Paul Smyth?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Paul Smyth plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.