Josh Coburn
Striker 90% of 30 recent starts MillwallChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Coburn has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Josh Coburn in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh CoburnMillwall | 4 | 2.37 | 1.48 |
| Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion | 8 | 1.78 | 2.07 |
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 8 | 2.97 | 1.98 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| These 5, combined | 2.10 | 1.53 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Josh Coburn featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham2 Sep | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Southampton29 Aug | 80 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Norwich22 Aug | 78 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City15 Aug | 83 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Hull City11 May | 85 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City8 May | 86 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leicester24 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City21 Apr | 80 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers18 Apr | 86 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Brom10 Apr | 65 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Josh Coburn have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Coburn has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Josh Coburn average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Josh Coburn is averaging 1.13 shots on target and 2.01 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Josh Coburn get booked?
Josh Coburn is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Josh Coburn commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Josh Coburn commits 1.26 fouls per 90 and wins 1.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josh Coburn?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josh Coburn plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.