Josh Murphy
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Murphy has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Josh Murphy in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh MurphyPortsmouth | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Othmane MaammaWatford | 8 | 1.53 | 0.96 |
| Reeco Hackett-FairchildLincoln City | 8 | 2.22 | 0.55 |
| Leo ScienzaSouthampton | 8 | 2.01 | 0.62 |
| Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton | 8 | 1.63 | 1.30 |
| Manor SolomonWest Ham United | 9 | 1.40 | 0.77 |
| These 5, combined | 1.74 | 0.84 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Josh Murphy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Lincoln City22 Aug | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Queens Park Rangers15 Aug | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City25 Apr | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City21 Apr | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Derby County20 Dec | 53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers13 Dec | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City9 Dec | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City29 Nov | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Sheffield United26 Nov | 69 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Millwall22 Nov | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Josh Murphy have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Josh Murphy has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Josh Murphy average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Josh Murphy is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 2.94 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Josh Murphy get booked?
Josh Murphy is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Josh Murphy commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Josh Murphy commits 0.46 fouls per 90 and wins 2.16 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josh Murphy?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josh Murphy plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.