Portugal v Denmark
How often each Portugal and Denmark player has hit the lines bookmakers price — 1+ shots on target, 2+ shots, 1+ fouls, a card — across their recent matches. How hit rates work ↓
Going into Portugal v Denmark on Sat 14 Nov: Nuno Mendes (Portugal) leads the home side for 1+ shots on target — 7 of 10 (70%); Adam Daghim (Denmark) tops the visitors on 6 of 10 (60%). Raw hit rates from recent matches, not odds.
What sits behind these numbers
Line-ups aren't confirmed yet. For a national team we don't guess one — a squad changes too much between windows — so the players fill in once the confirmed team sheet lands, about an hour before kick-off. Hit rates are each player's recent club form, not a forecast for this match. These players joined recently, and the games behind these rates were played elsewhere: Adam Daghim (TSG Hoffenheim), Bernardo Silva (Real Madrid), Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United), Diogo Dalot (Manchester United), Filip Jørgensen (RC Strasbourg), Francisco Conceição (Juventus), Fábio Silva (Borussia Dortmund), Gonçalo Ramos (AC Milan), Gustav Isaksen (Lazio), Joakim Mæhle (VfL Wolfsburg), João Félix (AC Milan), João Neves (Paris Saint-Germain), João Palhinha (Tottenham Hotspur), Kasper Dolberg (TSG Hoffenheim), Lucas Høgsberg (RC Strasbourg), Mikkel Damsgaard (Brentford), Mohamed Daramy (Stade de Reims), Nuno Mendes (Paris Saint-Germain), Nuno Tavares (Lazio), Oliver Provstgaard (Lazio), Pedro Neto (Chelsea), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Olympique de Marseille), Rasmus Højlund (SSC Napoli), Rasmus Kristensen (Eintracht Frankfurt), Rúben Neves (Wolverhampton), Victor Nelsson (Hellas Verona), Vitinha (Paris Saint-Germain) — read as prior form, not this club's.
How hit rates and windows work
Each row's hit rate is the share of a player's games in the window where the bet would have landed. These are 24/25 figures from completed matches: Last N is their last N games; Season is their whole 24/25; H2H is only games against this opponent.
🔒 Model is the paid layer — the model's +EV verdict on each line, per fixture in the tool. The hit rates here are free.
Tick players above to build your own slip — it follows you across games, and you can share it from the tray below.
New to these markets? The player stats guide explains what each line means and how to read a hit rate, and the glossary defines the terms.
Not appointed yet — referees are usually confirmed two to three days before kick-off. See the referee panel
Form is only half the picture. A player hitting a line 5 of 5 can still be poor value if the true chance is lower than the streak suggests. The SharpXI tool pairs every one of these with the model's real probability — and flags the runs it doesn't back, so you're not chasing a streak about to regress. That honest verdict is the layer we're building into the tool.
Hit rates are raw recent form from public match data, for context — not a prediction or a guarantee. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.
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