Casemiro
In 25/26, Casemiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 41% of his 34 Premier League appearances (14 of 34), 1+ total shot in 74%, 1+ foul committed in 76%, and 1+ foul won in 65%. He has been booked in 29% (10 of 34). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Casemiro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest17 May | 81 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Liverpool3 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brentford27 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds13 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth20 Mar | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aston Villa15 Mar | 89 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Newcastle4 Mar | 61 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace1 Mar | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Everton23 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Casemiro have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Casemiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 41% of his 34 Premier League appearances (14 of 34). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Casemiro average?
Across 34 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Casemiro is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 1.80 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Casemiro get booked?
Casemiro is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Casemiro commit or win more fouls?
This season Casemiro commits 1.60 fouls per 90 and wins 1.25 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Casemiro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Casemiro plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.