What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Curtis Jones has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Curtis Jones in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis JonesInter | 34 | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Lesley UgochukwuGalatasaray | 35 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Kobbie MainooManchester United | 28 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Reece JamesChelsea | 29 | 1.01 | 1.24 |
| Mathias JensenBrentford | 36 | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| Ao TanakaLeeds United | 28 | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| These 5, combined | 0.98 | 0.95 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Curtis Jones featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford24 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa15 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Chelsea9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Crystal Palace25 Apr | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Everton19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Fulham11 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brighton21 Mar | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Tottenham15 Mar | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves3 Mar | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Curtis Jones have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Curtis Jones has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Curtis Jones average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Curtis Jones is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.73 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Curtis Jones get booked?
Curtis Jones is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Curtis Jones commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Curtis Jones commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 1.22 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Curtis Jones?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Curtis Jones plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.