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Premier League 26/27
JE

Jean-Philippe Mateta

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Crystal PalacePremier League 26/27

Next match
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest›
Sun 11 OctReferee Peter Bankes

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.46 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.37MGMEdge
Total shots2.67 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
Fouls won0.97 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Fouls committed1.70 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.97 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.50PPEdge
Goals0.97 per 90
30%
3 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jean-Philippe Mateta has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Jean-Philippe Mateta in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace 322.55 0.85
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa 372.62 1.10
Callum WilsonBrentford 322.71 0.86
Chris WoodNottingham Forest 152.28 0.60
EvanilsonBournemouth 362.28 0.85
Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United 352.44 1.49
These 5, combined 2.47 1.06

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jean-Philippe Mateta featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Everton22 Aug 63 0 2 2 0 2 0
Arsenal24 May 13 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Brentford17 May 29 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Man City13 May 60 0 0 0 1 0 0
Everton10 May 25 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth3 May 25 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Liverpool25 Apr 70 2 2 1 0 0 0
West Ham20 Apr 31 0 0 1 0 0 0
Newcastle12 Apr 25 2 2 0 3 1 0
Leeds15 Mar 30 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Andy Madley 11 games Jean-Philippe Mateta never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Darren England 10 games Jean-Philippe Mateta booked in 1 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Thomas Bramall 10 games Jean-Philippe Mateta never booked 4.07cards/game 1.00×vs league
Robert Jones 9 games Jean-Philippe Mateta never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jean-Philippe Mateta have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jean-Philippe Mateta has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jean-Philippe Mateta average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 1.46 shots on target and 2.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jean-Philippe Mateta get booked?

Jean-Philippe Mateta is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jean-Philippe Mateta commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jean-Philippe Mateta commits 1.70 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jean-Philippe Mateta?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jean-Philippe Mateta plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.