Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
JO

Jorrel Hato

Centre-back 38% of 16 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 26 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.30MGMEdge
Total shots0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.73PPEdge
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles2.72 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
4.33PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 106.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jorrel Hato has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Jorrel Hato in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Jorrel HatoChelsea 220.31 1.16
Antonee RobinsonFulham 220.36 0.90
Álex JiménezFiorentina 310.81 1.35
Dan BurnNewcastle United 290.41 1.47
Luke ShawManchester United 380.28 1.36
Bashir HumphreysBurnley 200.51 0.80
These 5, combined 0.46 1.24

Recent matches

The last 10 games Jorrel Hato featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Hull City12 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Arsenal6 Sep 60 0 0 1 0 2 0
Brighton30 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Fulham24 Aug 65 0 1 0 2 2 0
@ Sunderland24 May 52 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tottenham19 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 1
@ Liverpool9 May 90 0 0 1 0 5 1
@ Brighton21 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 4 0
Man Utd18 Apr 90 0 0 2 1 2 1
Man City12 Apr 90 0 0 2 0 4 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 4 games Jorrel Hato booked in 2 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 3 games Jorrel Hato never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Jorrel Hato have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jorrel Hato has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Jorrel Hato average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jorrel Hato is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Jorrel Hato get booked?

Jorrel Hato is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Jorrel Hato commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Jorrel Hato commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 0.35 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jorrel Hato?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jorrel Hato plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.