What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mathys Tel has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Mathys Tel in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathys TelTottenham Hotspur | 31 | 2.32 | 1.26 |
| KevinFulham | 26 | 2.17 | 1.22 |
| Brajan GrudaBrighton & Hove Albion | 18 | 1.95 | 1.34 |
| Noni MaduekeArsenal | 26 | 1.91 | 1.10 |
| Dango OuattaraBrentford | 32 | 2.21 | 1.07 |
| Omari HutchinsonAC Milan | 31 | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| These 5, combined | 1.91 | 1.16 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mathys Tel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton12 Sep | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest5 Sep | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle29 Aug | 68 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brentford22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton24 May | 73 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea19 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds11 May | 85 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa3 May | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Wolves25 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brighton18 Apr | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mathys Tel have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Mathys Tel has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mathys Tel average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Mathys Tel is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 1.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mathys Tel get booked?
Mathys Tel is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mathys Tel commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mathys Tel commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathys Tel?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathys Tel plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.