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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Mathys Tel

Forward · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Mathys Tel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
1.06
80%Hot8 of 10
2.97
50%5 of 10
2.12
40%4 of 10
1.70
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathys Tel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
TSG Hoffenheim15 Jan 45 0 2 2 2 0
RB Leipzig20 Dec 8 0 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0514 Dec 26 0 2 0 1 0
@ Borussia Dortmund30 Nov 62 1 1 0 0 0
@ VfL Bochum 184827 Oct 21 2 3 0 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt6 Oct 18 0 0 0 0 0
@ Holstein Kiel14 Sep 14 0 0 0 0 0
SC Freiburg1 Sep 59 0 1 3 3 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim18 May 81 2 3 1 2 0
VfL Wolfsburg12 May 90 0 1 2 2 0
Officials on record
Sven Jablonski 6 games · Mathys Tel booked in 1 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Harm Osmers 4 games · Mathys Tel booked in 1 4.34cards/game 1.06×vs league
Tobias Stieler 4 games · Mathys Tel never booked 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Christian Dingert 3 games · Mathys Tel never booked 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Mathys Tel have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Mathys Tel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mathys Tel average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Mathys Tel is averaging 1.06 shots on target and 2.97 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathys Tel get booked?

Mathys Tel is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathys Tel commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mathys Tel commits 1.70 fouls per 90 and wins 2.12 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathys Tel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mathys Tel plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.