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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
PA

Patrick Dorgu

Wing-back 67% of 27 recent starts Man UtdPremier League 26/27

Also in: Serie A

Next match
Man Utd vs Tottenham Hotspur›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 43 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League wing-back, 25/26, 312 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.47 per 90
40%
4 of 102.6×
2.50bet365Edge
Total shots3.18 per 90
70%
7 of 101.9×
1.30bet365Edge
Fouls won1.71 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.25bet365Edge
Fouls committed3.18 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.22bet365Edge
Tackles2.69 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
10%
1 of 101.7×
Cards0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.49 per 90
20%
2 of 104.8×
form only
Assists0.49 per 90
20%
2 of 103.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Patrick Dorgu has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Patrick Dorgu in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 9 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Patrick DorguManchester United 261.60 1.42
Gabriel GudmundssonLeeds United 320.61 1.06
Daniel MuñozNottingham Forest 291.01 1.31
James JustinLeeds United 291.13 0.61
Dilane BakwaLille 141.47 1.47
Noussair MazraouiManchester United 200.44 1.06
These 5, combined 0.88 1.05

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patrick Dorgu featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Fulham20 Sep 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
Man City13 Sep 90 0 0 3 1 6 0
@ Everton6 Sep 20 0 0 0 0 1 0
Ipswich30 Aug 10 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Hull City22 Aug 45 0 3 4 0 0 1
@ Brighton24 May 62 3 3 0 2 1 0
Nottingham Forest17 May 10 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Sunderland9 May 25 0 0 2 2 0 0
Liverpool3 May 15 0 1 2 0 0 0
@ Arsenal25 Jan 81 1 2 2 1 2 0
Officials on record
Darren England 4 games Patrick Dorgu booked in 2 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Peter Bankes 4 games Patrick Dorgu booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Craig Pawson 3 games Patrick Dorgu booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Jarred Gillett 3 games Patrick Dorgu booked in 1 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Patrick Dorgu have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Patrick Dorgu has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Patrick Dorgu average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Patrick Dorgu is averaging 1.47 shots on target and 3.18 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patrick Dorgu get booked?

Patrick Dorgu is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patrick Dorgu commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Patrick Dorgu commits 3.18 fouls per 90 and wins 1.71 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Dorgu?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patrick Dorgu plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.