Roberto Firmino
Striker 77% of starts · Liverpool · Premier League 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26 · 1,425 appearances
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Roberto Firmino has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Roberto Firmino featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Southampton28 May | 57 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aston Villa20 May | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leeds17 Apr | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal9 Apr | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea4 Apr | 65 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man City1 Apr | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth11 Mar | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd5 Mar | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves1 Mar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace25 Feb | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Roberto Firmino have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Roberto Firmino has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Roberto Firmino average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Roberto Firmino is averaging 1.91 shots on target and 2.30 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Roberto Firmino get booked?
Roberto Firmino is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Roberto Firmino commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Roberto Firmino commits 1.15 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Roberto Firmino?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Roberto Firmino plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.