Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
SÁ

Sávio

Winger 47% of 30 recent starts TottenhamPremier League 26/27

Next match
Tottenham at Manchester United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.89 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
1.95MGMEdge
Total shots2.14 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.17PPEdge
Fouls won1.78 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls committed0.89 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.30bet365Edge
Tackles0.53 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
14%
1 of 71.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Sávio has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Sávio in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
SávioTottenham Hotspur 242.13 0.96
Gabriel MartinelliArsenal 302.42 0.83
Anthony GordonNewcastle United 262.38 0.64
Bertrand TraoréWolverhampton 121.83 1.55
Loum TchaounaCoventry City 291.57 0.89
Dango OuattaraBrentford 322.21 1.07
These 5, combined 2.13 0.93

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sávio featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Aston Villa19 Sep 90 3 3 2 2 0 0
Everton12 Sep 90 0 2 1 2 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest5 Sep 61 0 1 1 1 0 0
Aston Villa24 May 90 0 3 1 2 0 0
@ Bournemouth19 May 34 0 0 0 3 0 0
Crystal Palace13 May 90 1 2 0 0 2 0
Brentford9 May 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Burnley22 Apr 25 1 1 0 0 1 0
Arsenal19 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Chelsea12 Apr 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Chris Kavanagh 5 games Sávio booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Andy Madley 5 games Sávio never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Darren England 5 games Sávio never booked 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league
Michael Oliver 4 games Sávio booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sávio have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Sávio has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sávio average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Sávio is averaging 0.89 shots on target and 2.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sávio get booked?

Sávio is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sávio commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Sávio commits 0.89 fouls per 90 and wins 1.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sávio?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sávio plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.