What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A forward, 25/26, 3,106 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Idrissa Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Idrissa Gueye in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 63 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idrissa GueyeUdinese | 19 | 4.22 | 3.16 |
| Nikola KrstovićAtalanta | 33 | 4.99 | 2.27 |
| Gennaro BorrelliCagliari | 27 | 2.12 | 3.11 |
| Nicolò ZanioloUdinese | 32 | 2.86 | 2.46 |
| Jeff EkhatorJuventus | 30 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Tijjani NoslinLazio | 29 | 2.67 | 1.45 |
| These 5, combined | 3.09 | 2.29 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Idrissa Gueye featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari19 Sep | 53 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter14 Sep | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Monza29 Aug | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Como22 Aug | 72 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli24 May | 36 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cremonese17 May | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari9 May | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Torino2 May | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Lazio27 Apr | 82 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Parma18 Apr | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Serie A official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Idrissa Gueye have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Idrissa Gueye has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Idrissa Gueye average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Idrissa Gueye is averaging 2.18 shots on target and 5.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Idrissa Gueye get booked?
Idrissa Gueye is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Idrissa Gueye commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Idrissa Gueye commits 1.94 fouls per 90 and wins 1.21 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Idrissa Gueye?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Idrissa Gueye plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.