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Serie A · 25/26
LU

Luis Muriel

Forward · Atalanta · Serie A 25/26

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luis Muriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, and 1+ foul won in 60%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 47 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
1.69
80%Hot8 of 10
5.41
60%6 of 10
3.38
10%1 of 10
0.34
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luis Muriel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Lazio4 Feb 11 0 0 0 1 0
Udinese27 Jan 2 0 1 0 0 0
Frosinone15 Jan 28 1 3 0 2 0
Lecce30 Dec 26 0 1 0 1 0
@ Bologna23 Dec 23 0 1 0 0 0
Salernitana18 Dec 66 3 6 0 4 0
AC Milan9 Dec 8 1 1 0 1 0
@ Torino4 Dec 45 0 2 1 0 0
SSC Napoli25 Nov 12 0 1 0 1 0
@ Udinese12 Nov 45 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Luis Muriel have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luis Muriel has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Luis Muriel average?

Across his last 10 Serie A games, Luis Muriel is averaging 1.69 shots on target and 5.41 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luis Muriel get booked?

Luis Muriel is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luis Muriel commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Luis Muriel commits 0.34 fouls per 90 and wins 3.38 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Muriel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luis Muriel plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.