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Serie A 26/27
MO

Moise Kean

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts ComoSerie A 26/27

Next match
Como vs AS Roma›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Fabbri

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.53 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.40MGMEdge
Total shots3.47 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.05PPEdge
Fouls won1.94 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.83 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
25%
2 of 82.7×
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.42 per 90
30%
3 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Moise Kean has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Moise Kean in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Moise KeanComo 264.31 1.28
Gift OrbanHellas Verona 283.76 1.02
Rafael LeãoGalatasaray 293.05 0.92
Lautaro MartínezInter 303.80 1.94
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta 243.89 1.77
Giovanni SimeoneTorino 323.17 1.24
These 5, combined 3.51 1.36

Recent matches

The last 10 games Moise Kean featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Frosinone20 Sep 45 2 2 1 2 0 0
Parma14 Sep 64 1 2 0 1 1 0
@ Genoa4 Sep 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ AS Roma22 Aug 27 2 2 0 2 0 0
@ Hellas Verona4 Apr 76 0 1 0 0 0 0
Inter22 Mar 86 1 2 2 1 1 1
@ Udinese2 Mar 71 0 2 1 1 0 0
Pisa23 Feb 86 2 5 0 3 0 0
@ Como14 Feb 84 1 1 2 1 0 0
Torino7 Feb 85 2 8 0 3 0 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 10 games Moise Kean booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Daniele Chiffi 7 games Moise Kean booked in 2 3.81cards/game 0.91×vs league
Federico La Penna 7 games Moise Kean booked in 1 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Matteo Marcenaro 6 games Moise Kean booked in 1 4.98cards/game 1.19×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Moise Kean have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Moise Kean has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Moise Kean average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Moise Kean is averaging 1.53 shots on target and 3.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Moise Kean get booked?

Moise Kean is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Moise Kean commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Moise Kean commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 1.94 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Moise Kean?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Moise Kean plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.