Nesta Elphege
Striker 100% of 3 recent starts ParmaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nesta Elphege has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Nesta Elphege in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 63 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nesta ElphegeParma | 9 | 1.76 | 0.88 |
| Stefano MoreoPisa | 37 | 2.02 | 0.85 |
| Niclas FüllkrugSV Werder Bremen | 20 | 2.23 | 1.11 |
| Che AdamsTorino | 33 | 2.52 | 0.85 |
| Semih KılıçsoyCagliari | 22 | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Francesco CamardaAC Milan | 21 | 2.08 | 1.56 |
| These 5, combined | 2.12 | 1.02 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nesta Elphege featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa20 Sep | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Como14 Sep | 64 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Juventus29 Aug | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari22 Aug | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Como17 May | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Roma10 May | 79 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Inter3 May | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pisa25 Apr | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese18 Apr | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli12 Apr | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Nesta Elphege have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nesta Elphege has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nesta Elphege average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Nesta Elphege is averaging 0.72 shots on target and 2.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nesta Elphege get booked?
Nesta Elphege is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nesta Elphege commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nesta Elphege commits 0.96 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nesta Elphege?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nesta Elphege plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.