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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Danny da Costa

Defender · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Danny da Costa has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 34), 1+ total shot in 29%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 59%, and been booked in 9% (3 of 34). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.12
40%4 of 10
0.59
50%5 of 10
0.71
20%2 of 10
0.24
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Danny da Costa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May 45 0 0 0 1 0
1. FC Union Berlin10 May 16 0 0 1 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli3 May 90 0 1 0 2 0
FC Bayern München25 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach19 Apr 82 0 0 0 1 0
SC Freiburg12 Apr 83 0 1 0 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim4 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt22 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen15 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart7 Mar 89 1 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 8 games · Danny da Costa booked in 1 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Sven Jablonski 8 games · Danny da Costa never booked 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Felix Zwayer 7 games · Danny da Costa never booked 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Bastian Dankert 6 games · Danny da Costa never booked 3.55cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Danny da Costa have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Danny da Costa has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 34 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 34). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Danny da Costa average?

Across 34 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Danny da Costa is averaging 0.17 shots on target and 0.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Danny da Costa get booked?

Danny da Costa is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Danny da Costa commit or win more fouls?

This season Danny da Costa commits 0.73 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Danny da Costa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Danny da Costa plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.