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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Lucas Höler

Forward · SC Freiburg · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Lucas Höler has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 33), 1+ total shot in 55%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 12% (4 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.73
60%6 of 10
1.91
70%7 of 10
1.32
60%6 of 10
1.61
30%3 of 10
0.44
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lucas Höler featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
RB Leipzig16 May 18 0 1 0 1 0
@ Hamburger SV10 May 90 0 1 1 1 1
VfL Wolfsburg3 May 58 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund26 Apr 90 1 2 3 2 0
1. FC Heidenheim19 Apr 90 1 3 2 1 1
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0512 Apr 90 1 1 2 1 1
FC Bayern München4 Apr 89 2 5 2 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli22 Mar 13 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin15 Mar 61 0 0 1 2 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen7 Mar 15 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 11 games · Lucas Höler booked in 3 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Sven Jablonski 10 games · Lucas Höler booked in 1 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Felix Zwayer 9 games · Lucas Höler booked in 2 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Benjamin Brand 8 games · Lucas Höler booked in 1 4.43cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Lucas Höler have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Lucas Höler has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Lucas Höler average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Lucas Höler is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lucas Höler get booked?

Lucas Höler is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lucas Höler commit or win more fouls?

This season Lucas Höler commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Höler?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas Höler plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.