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Bundesliga 26/27
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Lucas Höler

Attacking midfielder 50% of 30 recent starts SC FreiburgBundesliga 26/27

Next match
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04›
Sun 11 OctReferee Martin Petersen

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.80 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
1.63MGMEdge
Total shots2.23 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
1.12bet365Edge
Fouls won1.12 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.17bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.76 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
1.29bet365Edge
Tackles1.60 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
11%
1 of 91.0×
Cards0.64 per 90
40%
4 of 104.3×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Lucas Höler has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 33), 1+ total shot in 55%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 12% (4 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Lucas Höler in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lucas HölerSC Freiburg 331.48 1.31
Maximilian BeierBorussia Dortmund 322.21 1.37
Fabian RiederFC Augsburg 321.45 1.72
Nathan TellaBayer 04 Leverkusen 172.42 1.51
Nikolas NarteyVfB Stuttgart 281.57 1.28
Malik TillmanBayer 04 Leverkusen 291.81 0.96
These 5, combined 1.84 1.39

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lucas Höler featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Eintracht Frankfurt19 Sep 10 0 1 0 0 0 1
Borussia M'gladbach12 Sep 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen29 Aug 17 0 0 1 0 1 0
RB Leipzig16 May 18 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ Hamburger SV10 May 90 0 1 1 1 1 1
VfL Wolfsburg3 May 58 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund26 Apr 90 1 2 3 2 3 0
1. FC Heidenheim19 Apr 90 1 3 2 1 2 1
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0512 Apr 90 1 1 2 1 1 1
FC Bayern München4 Apr 89 2 5 2 1 2 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 12 games Lucas Höler booked in 3 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Sven Jablonski 10 games Lucas Höler booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Felix Zwayer 9 games Lucas Höler booked in 2 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Benjamin Brand 8 games Lucas Höler booked in 1 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lucas Höler have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Lucas Höler has hit 1+ shot on target in 36% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lucas Höler average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Lucas Höler is averaging 0.65 shots on target and 1.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lucas Höler get booked?

Lucas Höler is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lucas Höler commit or win more fouls?

This season Lucas Höler commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 1.31 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Höler?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Höler plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.