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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Max Moerstedt

Forward · TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Max Moerstedt has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22), 1+ total shot in 32%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, 1+ foul won in 27%, and been booked in 9% (2 of 22). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.64
30%3 of 10
1.91
30%3 of 10
4.47
50%5 of 10
5.11
10%1 of 10
0.64
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
TSG Hoffenheim at 1. FC Köln
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Max Moerstedt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
VfB Stuttgart2 May 9 1 1 1 0 0
@ Hamburger SV25 Apr 10 0 0 1 2 0
Borussia Dortmund18 Apr 8 0 0 0 1 0
1. FSV Mainz 054 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig20 Mar 21 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln21 Feb 1 0 0 1 0 1
SC Freiburg14 Feb 16 0 0 2 0 0
@ FC Bayern München8 Feb 9 0 1 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin31 Jan 45 0 1 3 4 0
@ SV Werder Bremen27 Jan 14 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Harm Osmers 4 games · Max Moerstedt never booked 4.34cards/game 1.06×vs league
Sven Jablonski 4 games · Max Moerstedt never booked 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Christian Dingert 3 games · Max Moerstedt booked in 2 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Tobias Stieler 3 games · Max Moerstedt booked in 1 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Max Moerstedt have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Max Moerstedt has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Max Moerstedt average?

Across 22 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Max Moerstedt is averaging 0.88 shots on target and 1.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Max Moerstedt get booked?

Max Moerstedt is averaging 0.44 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Max Moerstedt commit or win more fouls?

This season Max Moerstedt commits 3.07 fouls per 90 and wins 2.19 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Moerstedt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Max Moerstedt plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.