Max Moerstedt
Striker 71% of 7 recent starts TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Max Moerstedt has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22), 1+ total shot in 32%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, 1+ foul won in 27%, and been booked in 9% (2 of 22). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Max Moerstedt in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max MoerstedtTSG Hoffenheim | 22 | 1.53 | 3.07 |
| Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim | 16 | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund | 28 | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| Keke ToppSV Werder Bremen | 20 | 3.41 | 2.19 |
| Junior AdamuSC Freiburg | 9 | 1.38 | 1.97 |
| Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg | 29 | 4.11 | 2.06 |
| These 5, combined | 2.85 | 2.11 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Max Moerstedt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ SC Paderborn 0720 Sep | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund5 Sep | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln29 Aug | 37 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| VfB Stuttgart2 May | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV25 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund18 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 054 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig20 Mar | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln21 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| SC Freiburg14 Feb | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Max Moerstedt have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Max Moerstedt has hit 1+ shot on target in 18% of 22 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 22). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Max Moerstedt average?
Across 22 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Max Moerstedt is averaging 0.88 shots on target and 1.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Max Moerstedt get booked?
Max Moerstedt is averaging 0.44 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Max Moerstedt commit or win more fouls?
This season Max Moerstedt commits 3.07 fouls per 90 and wins 2.19 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Moerstedt?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Max Moerstedt plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.