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Bundesliga 26/27
TI

Tiago Tomás

Winger 50% of 30 recent starts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 26/27

Next match
VfB Stuttgart at SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.70 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.55MGMEdge
Total shots2.33 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
1.04bet365Edge
Fouls won2.33 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.12bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.30bet365Edge
Tackles1.86 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 100.7×
Cards0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Tiago Tomás has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (9 of 27), 1+ total shot in 59%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 59%, and been booked in 15% (4 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Tiago Tomás in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tiago TomásVfB Stuttgart 273.03 1.04
Derry ScherhantSC Freiburg 312.48 1.31
Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 1.11
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig 132.62 1.19
Jan-Niklas BesteSC Freiburg 281.26 0.89
Luis DíazFC Bayern München 323.23 1.29
These 5, combined 2.32 1.16

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tiago Tomás featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Bayern München28 Aug 62 1 2 1 2 2 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt16 May 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 May 22 0 0 0 1 0 1
@ TSG Hoffenheim2 May 11 1 2 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen26 Apr 57 0 2 0 2 3 0
@ FC Bayern München19 Apr 85 0 1 0 0 1 0
Hamburger SV12 Apr 20 0 0 0 1 1 0
Borussia Dortmund4 Apr 18 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ FC Augsburg22 Mar 81 1 3 0 2 0 0
RB Leipzig15 Mar 21 0 0 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Hartmann 8 games Tiago Tomás never booked 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league
Sven Jablonski 8 games Tiago Tomás never booked 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 7 games Tiago Tomás booked in 2 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Christian Dingert 7 games Tiago Tomás booked in 1 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tiago Tomás have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Tiago Tomás has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (9 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tiago Tomás average?

Across 27 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Tiago Tomás is averaging 0.87 shots on target and 3.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tiago Tomás get booked?

Tiago Tomás is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tiago Tomás commit or win more fouls?

This season Tiago Tomás commits 1.04 fouls per 90 and wins 2.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tiago Tomás?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tiago Tomás plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.