Alfie Lloyd
Striker 67% of 6 recent starts Queens Park RangersChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Lloyd has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Alfie Lloyd in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie LloydQueens Park Rangers | 6 | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Lorent TolajBristol City | 8 | 4.39 | 2.93 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| These 5, combined | 2.67 | 1.73 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alfie Lloyd featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End19 Sep | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom12 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic9 Sep | 79 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Cardiff City2 Sep | 81 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers29 Aug | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth15 Aug | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cardiff City5 Apr | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City29 Mar | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ West Brom8 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sheffield United1 Mar | 23 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alfie Lloyd have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Lloyd has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alfie Lloyd average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Alfie Lloyd is averaging 0.69 shots on target and 3.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alfie Lloyd get booked?
Alfie Lloyd is averaging 0.46 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alfie Lloyd commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alfie Lloyd commits 2.53 fouls per 90 and wins 1.84 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Lloyd?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfie Lloyd plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.