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Championship 26/27
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Dael Fry

Centre-back 97% of 30 recent starts Birmingham CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Birmingham City at West Bromwich Albion›
Sat 10 OctReferee Gavin Ward

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
8.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.90 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
3.25bet365Edge
Fouls won0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
2.38bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.65 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles0.77 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 7
Cards0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Dael Fry has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Dael Fry in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Dael FryBirmingham City 20.00 0.00
Luke AylingMiddlesbrough 80.81 0.16
Ryley TowlerLincoln City 70.34 0.51
Ruairi McConvilleNorwich City 70.80 0.48
Jake Clarke-SalterQueens Park Rangers 80.00 1.09
Ben CabangoSwansea City 60.78 0.78
These 5, combined 0.54 0.60

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Dael Fry featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Derby County12 Sep 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wrexham28 Aug 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Hull City23 May 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Southampton12 May 120 1 1 1 1 1 0
Southampton9 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Wrexham2 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
Watford25 Apr 26 0 0 1 0 0 0
Sheffield Wednesday22 Apr 90 0 3 0 0 0 0
@ Ipswich19 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Portsmouth11 Apr 90 1 2 1 0 2 1
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 7 games Dael Fry never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 6 games Dael Fry booked in 1 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 6 games Dael Fry booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Gavin Ward 6 games Dael Fry never booked 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Dael Fry have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Dael Fry has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Dael Fry average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Dael Fry is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 0.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Dael Fry get booked?

Dael Fry is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Dael Fry commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Dael Fry commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dael Fry?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dael Fry plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.