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Championship 26/27
DI

Divin Mubama

Striker 100% of 20 recent starts SouthamptonChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Southampton vs Portsmouth›
Sun 11 OctReferee Adam Herczeg

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 34 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.85 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.30bet365Edge
Total shots3.38 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.08PPEdge
Fouls won2.11 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.08bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.11 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.22bet365Edge
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.85 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.42 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.42 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Divin Mubama has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Divin Mubama in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Divin MubamaSouthampton 84.77 2.05
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
Lorent TolajBristol City 84.39 2.93
Freddie DraperLincoln City 82.00 5.66
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
These 5, combined 2.59 2.91

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Divin Mubama featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Wrexham19 Sep 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bristol City12 Sep 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
Swansea City8 Sep 10 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Lincoln City5 Sep 28 0 1 2 1 0 0
@ Birmingham City1 Sep 21 0 2 1 1 0 1
Millwall29 Aug 20 0 2 0 0 0 0
Stoke City22 Aug 12 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Watford16 Aug 20 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Preston North End20 Mar 25 0 0 0 1 0 0
Queens Park Rangers17 Jan 56 1 1 2 1 0 1
Officials on record
Matt Donohue 4 games Divin Mubama booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Championship official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Divin Mubama have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Divin Mubama has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Divin Mubama average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Divin Mubama is averaging 0.68 shots on target and 4.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Divin Mubama get booked?

Divin Mubama is averaging 0.68 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Divin Mubama commit or win more fouls?

This season Divin Mubama commits 2.05 fouls per 90 and wins 2.05 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Divin Mubama?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Divin Mubama plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.