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Championship 26/27
SA

Sam Greenwood

Striker 33% of 30 recent starts Bristol CityChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Bristol City at Charlton Athletic›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tom Reeves

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.37 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.75MGMEdge
Total shots2.97 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
1.06bet365Edge
Fouls won3.20 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
Fouls committed2.28 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles1.83 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
30%
3 of 104.0×
Cards0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Sam Greenwood has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Sam Greenwood in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Sam GreenwoodBristol City 82.64 2.64
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion 81.78 2.07
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Lorent TolajBristol City 84.39 2.93
These 5, combined 2.55 1.95

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sam Greenwood featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Watford18 Sep 70 2 2 4 2 5 0
Lincoln City15 Sep 14 1 1 0 2 1 0
@ Southampton12 Sep 31 0 1 1 0 0 1
@ Burnley5 Sep 18 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ Preston North End1 Sep 69 2 2 1 3 0 0
Portsmouth29 Aug 22 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Birmingham City22 Aug 19 1 1 0 0 0 0
Millwall15 Aug 64 0 1 2 0 1 0
@ Bristol City3 May 12 0 2 0 0 0 0
Queens Park Rangers18 Apr 75 0 2 1 4 1 0
Officials on record
Matt Donohue 6 games Sam Greenwood booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
John Busby 5 games Sam Greenwood booked in 3 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Oliver Langford 5 games Sam Greenwood never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
David Webb 4 games Sam Greenwood booked in 2 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sam Greenwood have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Sam Greenwood has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sam Greenwood average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Sam Greenwood is averaging 1.76 shots on target and 2.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sam Greenwood get booked?

Sam Greenwood is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sam Greenwood commit or win more fouls?

This season Sam Greenwood commits 2.64 fouls per 90 and wins 2.93 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sam Greenwood?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sam Greenwood plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.